Scenario Analysis Tab

User guide:

Overview of the Scenarios View Tab

• The Scenarios View tab is an advanced version of the Analysis View, used for running sensitivity analyses and comparing multiple assumption sets for one specific import.
• Layout: 
  • Left: User inputs and scenario configuration
  • Middle: Graphical outputs with one line per scenario
  • Right: Exportable data table

2. Setting Up Scenarios

• The user inputs and policy/market parameters are identical to the Analysis View — country of origin, CN code, import volume, etc.
• What's new is the scenario legend table, where you define each scenario and its assumptions.
• Each scenario can have its own: 
  • Import volume
  • EUA price (e.g. set one scenario to a high carbon price trajectory)
  • Emissions intensity factor (default or custom)
  • Benchmark emissions factor
  • Effective carbon price already paid

3. Entering Custom Emissions Data

• To use your own emissions intensity rather than the default: 
  • Set the Emissions Factor field to Custom in the scenario legend table
  • Scroll to the Custom Data Entry Table (Step 4 in the tool)
  • Open the relevant scenario and enter your emissions intensity data directly

4. Outputs

• Outputs are the same as the Analysis View — costs, certificate requirements, and embedded emissions — but displayed with a separate line per scenario
• Below the main charts, additional graphs show the key scenario variables (e.g. carbon price, emissions intensity) so you can see what is driving differences between scenarios
• A data table on the right can be exported

5. Applications of the Scenarios View

• Compare actual vs. default emissions intensity to see how much using real plant-level data changes your cost exposure
• Model a decarbonisation plan to show how emissions reductions over time lower CBAM costs
• Run EUA price sensitivity analysis to understand how exposed your costs are to carbon price movements
• Build a tailored assessment using your own carbon price view or operational data